NIV PredictionsProduct preview · In development

See what could happen.
Decide what comes next.

Explore the direction of NIV Predictions: connect a change to its impact, compare possible responses and bring the next step to a person.

01Connect the change

Start with what changed.

A supplier moves a material delivery from day 6 to day 11. Keep that change beside the order it affects.

Source: Supplier date update
Linked work: Material → Order 1042
Delivery commitment: Day 10

02Trace the impact

See what depends on it.

The material has to arrive before production starts. With the same production and transit time, the delay reaches the customer.

MaterialDay 11
Production+3 days
Transit+1 day

Day 15 delivery5 days beyond the original target

03Compare responses

Make the tradeoffs visible.

Keep the supplier, use an alternative, or expedite the material. Compare time and added cost using the same assumptions.

Choose an illustrative response Keep the supplier 5 days late$0 extra Use an alternative 2 days late$1,200 extra Expedite the material 1 day late$2,100 extra

Use an alternativeIllustrative estimate: day 12 delivery · 2 days late · $1,200 extra

Extra cost is in USD for this example. All options need verification.

04Review the next step

The decision stays with you.

A forecast should explain its assumptions and give the responsible person a clear next step.

Human approval required

Review an alternative supplier

Verify qualification, availability and the quote before changing the purchase order.

Proposed ownerPurchasing lead

Illustrative estimate: 2 days late · $1,200 extra

Talk through your workflow

NIV Predictions is in development. This preview shows a proposed workflow with sample data. Forecasts support a decision; they do not guarantee an outcome.

See the example assumptions

All days are relative calendar days. The original plan assumes material on day 6, then 3 days of production and 1 day in transit: delivery on day 10. No schedule buffer is assumed.

Keep supplier: material on day 11 → delivery day 15; $0 added cost.
Alternative supplier: material on day 8 → delivery day 12; $1,200 added cost.
Expedite material: arrival on day 7 → delivery day 11; $2,100 added cost.

The shaded windows use an assumed variation of ±1 day. They are not statistical confidence intervals. Supplier qualification, inventory, capacity, quotes and carrier timing would need verification. These are scenario calculations, not live model predictions.